Netherlands vs Greece — match analysis

⚽ Netherlands vs Greece 📅 13 November 2026, 19:45 UTC 🏟 UEFA Nations League 🏆 RESULT ASSESSMENT NO PICK Result confidence: Low Both teams are unbeaten and level on eight points after four matches. Netherlands have home advantage and greater scoring output, but Greece have won both identified away group matches. 🛡 SAFER RESULT ASSESSMENT Netherlands or Draw (1X), tentative Double-chance confidence: Low This is a weak protection-oriented lean. Netherlands are unbeaten overall and at home, but Greece’s away victories prevent a stronger assessment. 🥅 GOALS Under 3.5 goals: lean Confidence in Under 3.5: Medium Over 1.5 goals: tentative lean Confidence in Over 1.5: Low Six of seven distinct group fixtures involving the teams finished under 3.5 goals, while five produced at least two goals. The 2–2 reverse meeting and Greece’s 1–0 and 0–0 results show why the two lines carry different confidence. 📊 BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Yes: tentative lean BTTS confidence: Low All four Netherlands group matches produced goals for both teams, including the reverse fixture. Greece’s two clean sheets against Germany and stronger away defence make this assessment uncertain. 🔎 OVERALL CONFIDENCE Low–Medium No numerical probabilities were supplied because the available samples were considered too small for a calibrated estimate. No score forecast was endorsed. ⚠️ What could change the picture? Current availability is incomplete. Frenkie de Jong reportedly returned, while Virgil van Dijk and Brian Brobbey were reported withdrawn. Christos Tzolis’s status was not reliably established, and Dimitris Kourbelis was reported as an ankle doubt. Some secondary reports conflicted, and only two venue-specific matches per team were available. 🕒 Research checked: 13 November 2026, approximately 00:53–00:55 UTC. Sources: [UEFA — Netherlands matches](https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/teams/95--netherlands/matches/) [UEFA — Greece matches](https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/teams/49--greece/matches/) [Hellenic Football Federation](https://www.epo.gr/TeamHome.aspx?a_id=40707) #Netherlands #Greece #NationsLeague