Swansea vs Blackburn — match analysis
Championship · Kickoff 2026-10-31T15:00:00.000Z
Research completed
Recorded final score: 4-0
Research assessments
- BTTS: Yes · Confidence: Low · Incorrect
- Preferred goals: Under 3.5 · Confidence: Medium · Incorrect
- Match result: Swansea win · Confidence: Medium · Correct
- Exact score: 1-1 · Confidence: Low-Medium · Incorrect
- Preferred goals: NO PICK
Full published analysis
⚽ Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers
📅 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC
🏟 Championship
🏆 RESULT ASSESSMENT
Swansea are slight favourites, with a public market-derived estimate of 54%. The draw remains a serious risk.
Winner confidence: Medium
🥅 GOALS
Under 3.5 goals is more strongly supported than either side of the 2.5 line.
Under 3.5 confidence: Medium
Over/Under 2.5: no meaningful edge, with aggregated estimates of 51.1% Over and 48.9% Under.
Over/Under 2.5 confidence: Low
📊 BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
BTTS Yes: slight lean at approximately 53% (aggregated estimate: 52.7%).
BTTS confidence: Low
🎯 INDICATIVE SCORE
Most likely score: 1–1
Score confidence: Low–Medium
Swansea’s league position, home record and home defence support the slight home lean and a restrained scoreline. However, they entered the fixture after consecutive defeats, while Blackburn had collected 13 points from their previous six league matches.
⚠️ What could change the picture?
Swansea’s recent 5–0 defeat and Blackburn’s stronger current form strengthen the draw case. Reported absences and Sam Morsy’s suspension may also matter, but the starting line-ups were unconfirmed. Live Bet365 prices were unavailable, so value could not be assessed and the quoted public odds should not be treated as verified Bet365 prices.
Other research estimates:
Draw: 25%
Blackburn win: 21%
One public odds feed showed 1.70/3.80/4.75. These prices were not verified as Bet365 odds.
🕒 Research checked: 31 October 2026, 11:10 UTC
Sources:
ChampionshipStat: https://championshipstat.uk/match/swansea-blackburn-2026-10-31/
Sports Mole preview: https://www.sportsmole.co.uk/football/swansea-city/preview/swansea-vs-blackburn-prediction-team-news-lineups_607939.html
FotMob fixture page: https://www.fotmob.com/en-GB/matches/blackburn-rovers-vs-swansea-city/2vn3sy
#SwanseaCity #BlackburnRovers #Championship
Research carries uncertainty. Confidence is not a numerical probability.