Colombia vs Chile — match analysis

⚽ Colombia vs Chile 📅 14 November 2026, 00:00 UTC 🏟 Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali — International friendly 🏆 RESULT ASSESSMENT Tentative lean: Colombia to win Winner confidence: Low Colombia’s home venue, slightly stronger recent defensive figures and Chile’s two defeats in its latest three matches support the lean. However, Chile most recently beat Mexico 2–0, so an automatic home win is not supported. 🛡 SAFER RESULT ASSESSMENT 1X — Colombia or Draw Double-chance confidence: Medium This assessment is better supported than the outright-win lean. Colombia lost only one of its latest three matches and conceded twice, while Chile lost two of its latest three fixtures outside Chile. 🥅 GOALS Under 3.5 goals Under 3.5 confidence: Medium Five of the teams’ combined six latest matches stayed below four goals. Colombia’s three matches all finished under this line. Over 1.5: NO PICK Over/Under 2.5 and other goals lines: NO PICK 📊 BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE Tentative lean: BTTS No BTTS confidence: Low Only two of the combined six latest matches had both teams score, and Colombia kept two clean sheets. Confidence remains Low because Chile scored twice in each of its latest two matches. 🔎 OVERALL CONFIDENCE Low-to-medium ⚠️ What could change the picture? The evidence comes from a small sample featuring varied opposition and friendly-match conditions. Colombia’s recent cited matches do not establish a current home trend. Luis Díaz is absent from Colombia’s official squad list, the reported Campaz replacement was not reflected on the readable official page, and complete current Chile availability was not obtained. Friendly-match rotation and unconfirmed starting line-ups add uncertainty. No exact score is endorsed. Single score estimate: NO PICK. Score range: NO PICK. No numerical market probabilities were supplied because the available evidence was insufficient for defensible calibration. 🕒 Research checked: 13 November 2026, approximately 16:39 UTC. Sources: [FCF fixture and Colombia squad announcement](https://www.fcf.com.co/2026/11/06/convocatoria-de-la-seleccion-colombia-de-mayores-amistosos-internacionales-de-noviembre-2026/) [Colombia results](https://www.11v11.com/teams/colombia/option/fixtures/) [Chile results](https://www.11v11.com/teams/chile/option/fixtures/) [Luis Díaz report — FOX Deportes](https://www.foxdeportes.com/futbol/nota/colombia-afrontara-la-fecha-fifa-sin-luis-diaz) [Jaminton Campaz report — Gol Caracol](https://www.noticiascaracol.com/golcaracol/seleccion-colombia/primera-baja-en-seleccion-colombia-contra-chile-se-lesiono-jaminton-campaz-y-ya-tiene-reemplazo-rg10) [Chile federation statement](https://laroja.cl/new/comunicado-de-prensa) #Colombia #Chile #InternationalFriendly